Archive for the 'Economy' Category
What effect will the election results have on the real estate market?
0 Comments Published by margomurray November 25th, 2008 in Economy, Housing Economy, Real Estate Market, Real Estate Advice, California Real Estate, Buying a home, Should I buy a home?, Is this the right time to buy a home?. by margomurray Generally, postpresidential election real estate markets tend to improve slightly. The boost tends to be greater if the winning vote was substantial. President-elect Obama won the popular vote by about 7%. If history repeats itself–and it usually does–the real estate market will continue to improve in 2009. Many believe the reason post-presidential markets generally improve is because consumer confidence increases after the American voter has the opportunity to express his/her will through the election process. The more people who agree with the election results, the greater the consumer confidence.
The California Association of Realtors (CAR) predicts that prices will bottom out by mid-2009. CAR also predicts a 12.5% increase in the number of sales in California in 2009. Remember–months ago, we predicted that an improving real estate market would lead us out of the recession. Forecasts of continued low interest rates, lower foreclosure numbers, and increasing consumer confidence in real estate should continue to bring about an improved real estate market. The one concern is the economy. The bailout that Congress passed will hopefully bring about results within the coming months, and the nations economy will begin to heal. A final, encouraging observation: sales in September 2008 were up 96.7% from the same period in 2007.
OC Real Estate Market in 2009 forcasted by Real Estate Economist Gary Watts
0 Comments Published by margomurray November 17th, 2008 in Economy, Housing Economy, Real Estate Market, Real Estate Advice. by margomurrayGary Watts has long been recognized as a forecasting expert by the real estate industry. His long-term analysis has also drawn the attention of the media due to his consistent accuracy. His Economic Outlook has been spotlighted in regional newspapers, including the Orange County Register and the Los Angeles Times. He has been seen on the PBS TV program Real Orange, and he has been a featured advisor on real estate forecasting roundtables. He holds a degree in economics with advanced studies in psychology from California State University at Sacramento.
The housing market below $250,000 has most likely reached the bottom
Prices now in the $350,000 range are close to the bottom.
The rest of the housing market still suffers a restructuring of prices.
Expect foreclosures and short sales to dominate the market through 2010.
Listing inventory should rise due to the large number of foreclosures set to enter the market.
The credit conditions should greatly improve, bringing more buyers into the market place.
Demand for properties will continue to be higher than the past three years.
Will your vote this November affect the economy and fix the housing crisis?
0 Comments Published by margomurray July 29th, 2008 in Economy, Housing Economy. by margomurrayPresidential elections always have a noticeable impact on the economy. Historically speaking, presidential elections usually reverse prevailing trends, which is good news in this economy. Since the media is covering a lot of the “drama” and not much on actually what the policies of each candidate are. I’ve desided to do a bit more investigation myself. For your convenience click below to be directed to the economic policy section of each candidate’s website.
Economic Policies for: Barack Obama
Economic Policies for: John McCain
How important is it that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac stay in existence?
0 Comments Published by margomurray July 25th, 2008 in Rancho Santa Margarita Real Estate, Economy, Housing Economy, Real Estate Advice. by margomurrayI asked my loan broker, Dean Rathbun this week how important is it that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac stay in existence. And her is what he had to say. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two government-supported mortgage giants at the centre of America’s housing market, pose a particularly acute problem for the government. Not only are they too big to fail, they are almost too big to rescue.
They hold or guarantee some $5.2 trillion of the nation’s $12 trillion of mortgages, backed by the thinnest wafer of capital, meaning their collapse would imperil the already paralyzed American housing market. Yet, an analyst at Graham Fisher, a research firm, points out, nationalizing them, a stark choice for the government since their shares tumbled last week, would “result in a doubling of the federal deficit, a further collapse of the dollar and unthinkable implications for the Treasury’s cost of funding in the debt markets.” (more̷
Smart Ways to Spend Your Tax Refund
0 Comments Published by margomurray May 21st, 2008 in Lifestyles, Economy, Real Estate Advice, Home Improvements. by margomurrayAs tax season settles, consumers throughout the nation anxiously await their tax refund and rebate. According to the latest IRS estimate, tax refunds will be almost 5 percent higher this year, with an average $2,480 returned to taxpayer’s hands.
This financial boost couldn’t come at a better time. Get ahead of the tough economic situation by spending your tax rebate wisely.
As a realtor my I suggest on how you can make the most of your tax refund and rebate:
Spruce Up Your Home
Is your kitchen or bathroom looking a little dingy? If so, consider a renovation. Home renovating and remodeling can drastically improve the value of your home. On average a kitchen and or bathroom remodel will yield a return on investment of 80 to 100 percent. Investing in a kitchen or bathroom not only provides an unparalleled return, but allows you, the homeowner, to enjoy the benefits of this investment before you place your home on the market. The best upgrades to a home are: French Doors, New Window Treatments, Plantation Shutters, Granite Counters, New Chandeliers and my favorite, give your home a new coat of paint. All I can tell you a home improvement will give you the pleasure while you own the home and when it is time to sell your home you will get most of your investment back. I know that new flat screen TV was on your list, but rethink it, should you need to sell tomorrow, no buyer will pay you that much more because you throw the flat screen into the deal.
Will your vote this November affect the economy and fix the housing crisis?
0 Comments Published by margomurray April 29th, 2008 in Community, Economy, Housing Economy. by margomurrayPresidential elections always have a noticeable impact on the economy. Historically speaking, presidential elections usually reverse prevailing trends, which is good news in this economy. Since the media is covering a lot of the “drama” and not much on actually what the policies of each candidate are. I’ve desided to do a bit more investigation myself.
For your convenience click below to be directed to the economic policy section of each candidate’s website.
Also below are the links on how specificly each candidate will fix the housing crisis.
Economic Policies for:
Hillary Clinton Barack Obama John McCain
Here are the specific plans each candidate has for the housing crisis:
Is this Economic Stimulus Package going to work?
0 Comments Published by margomurray April 21st, 2008 in Real Estate in South Orange County, Rancho Santa Margarita Real Estate, Mission Viejo Real Estate, Coto De Caza Real Estate, Foothill Ranch, Lake Forest, Laguna Hills Real Estate, Ladera Ranch, Laguna Niguel Real Estate, Dana Point Real Estate, Laguna Beach Real Estate, Melinda Heights Real Estate, Economy. by margomurrayPhrased differently, is my $600 check really enough to turn this economy around? No, and it’s not
designed to do so. However, it will do more than you think. At its core, the package employs a simple concept. One of the first things that happens in a recession is that people lose their discretionary income. As a result, people stop buying iPods and designer jeans and, instead, purchaseCD players and Levis. The top-tier vendors have to cut back and fire some of their workers. Since they tend to offer higher-paying jobs with better benefits, these jobs are a substantial loss to the economy. The displaced workers essentially move down one rung on the economic ladder. This cycle can continue for several classes of workers, and the cycle is very difficult to reverse. This is what economists mean when they say, “we may talk ourselves into a recession.” Small clinical studies have shown that even a modest cash “prize” or “gift” can alter this tendency to spend less, causing people to focus on their extra cash, instead of the decreased bonus at work or the higher prices at the pump. Of course, that’s only the most prominent element of the Stimulus Package. Also included were improved lending conditions and an increase in the amount of credit available to certain banks.
Are we in a recession?
0 Comments Published by margomurray April 21st, 2008 in Rancho Santa Margarita Real Estate, Economy. by margomurrayThis seems to be the unanswerable question. Journalists and analysts were asking this question over a year ago and are still unable to answer with any divinity today. The reason for the uncertainty stems from contention over the definition of the word “recession.” The traditional definition necessitates that an economy endure two straight quarters of negative growth before it is classified as a recession. By this definition, we are not in a recession. However, this definition is problematic for several reasons. Most notably, growth may not be a reliable indicator of improvement in the overall economy. For instance, oil companies are recording record profits this year, figuring into overall growth trends. But those gains come at the expense of millions of consumers and businesses. So, while oil companies technically grow the economy, most sectors of the economy perceive this growth negatively. To complicate things further, growth is immeasurable for at least 6 months after a quarter ends. Most conservative analysts will tell you that a good two years must pass before accurate data can be collected and understood. In fact, our last recession ended before economists concluded we were in one. Once you eliminate the standard definition, you are left with an array of contending classifications, which explains the current difficulty in describing our period as a recession. However, most analysts will tell you that enough economic indicators are in decline to classify this period.

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